Apologies

I try to post on Tuesday. I am afraid I have been unwell for a few days. Sorry. Back next week.

Internet TV? Just buy a cable connector

From TV Debunked, Fortune Magazine, January 2011

The lead picture in this post – and nearly all the numbers -- come from a piece in January’s Fortune magazine. (Click on the caption for the link).

The writer, Jessi Hempel, has just received the brick-sized box enabling her to hook-up Google TV, and having played around with some of the cooler functions (like tweeting from her TV (@jessiwrites) she set out to watch some real stuff, namely of a recent episode of the sitcom Modern Family – but it’s not available. Or rather, she can get it from Amazon for $1.99 (if she is already a cable subscriber) or get old episodes from Netflix. Modern Family plays on ABC, and ABC like all the networks and major broadcasters, are teasing with the new media. At bottom, ABC still wants to keep you watching new episodes the way you always have, on their main channel. (You can see Modern Family on Sky1 in the UK).

In fact, the best new-tech option – if you live in the US – apart from watching it live on an HD TV, would be to catch up the latest episode on ABC.com. (From the UK, I could watch highlights of the next episode on ABC.com  but the latest full episode was blocked.)

All the devices in that picture, and the failures in their wake like Joost, add lots of convenience extras like search, and even more potential benefits like targeted advertising. But as Jessi puts it, “Netflix, Google and Apple can’t just swoop in and disrupt the $85 billion home entertainment industry. Their challenge lies in navigating the entrenched interests that make up the television business.”

So far they have not succeeded in doing that.

How to Avoid Piracy?

Release It, Legally and Soon -- at least that would be one simple message coming out of our work on Piracy. But it's far from a complete answer, for some content is not particularly prone to piracy.


And anyway, Piracy is simply a secondary consequence of a technology that enables  simultaneous global access to new content. (Each new distribution technology offered new opportunities for piracy: rogue employees at Hollywood studios have been stealing DVD masters and duplicating them for years).


But our clients, some of whom are global companies, are people with property to protect, and they need a proper plan for their releases. No industry can flourish if property rights can be stolen.


The critical choice for media companies is to determine the best release pattern, taking  piracy into account.


As above, not every type of content is equally vulnerable. A series like Lost is pirated if it's not made available shortly after release. On the other hand, German viewers enjoy watching science programmes of indeterminate age and pay for them.


Simultaneous online release is therefore one way to stem piracy. But the key question will always be: what impact does that have on other potentially profitable windows? For simultaneous release may limit sales down more traditional paths to channels with well-established audiences and solid revenues. (Then again, an early online release can create further buzz for the show. That’s why Warner Bros. released Vampire Diaries on iTunes for UK users prior to its ITV2 airing.)

Culture and Evolution; some new thinking.



Not by genes alone: The PowerPoint is available on request

This will be my last post of 2010.  I'm going to look at something absolutely basic to what we do.  We are all in the culture business. 

But what is culture?

A wide definition is preferable. Culture is simply the way we behave in a certain place at a certain time. Breakfast in Japan is different from breakfast in Britain.

Something as deeply embedded as culture must be instinctive. We acquire a large part of it without thinking about it. But then, like all instincts, it must have a use, be, as they say, adaptive.

Do other animals have cultures?  In some chimpanzee bands one member may find a new way of doing something useful, like extracting termites with a stick, and others copy him or her.  But it doesn’t seem to go much further than that. 

Yet that, according to the latest thinking on culture, we have an instinct to watch others in order to learn things, determine how best to behave.  The two academics who have articulated this viewpoint most clearly, Boyd and Richardson, use the term "fast and frugal heuristics" which simply means that a quick way to decide what to do in a given situation is to copy others. This appears in a book called Not by Genes Alone.

How Hollywood Did It (Part 2)

In my post on November 23rd, I wrote about the way Hollywood studios had coped with both the recession and a collapse in DVD sales in 2009. They did it by boosting international sales.

For the Westminster Media Forum on Monday Nov 23, I tried to think about what we could learn from this. It was especially useful to hear from David Moody, Head of Strategy at BBC Worldwide, before I spoke. BBC Worldwide is the nearest thing we have to a Hollywood studio. 

(Where the Hollywood studios are concerned, we are talking about the big-selling international genres of Drama and Comedy. We are very good, in the UK, at natural history and other high-end factual content. And of course we have been very successful at creating reality formats, but drama remains the most valuable item  in a distributor’s catalogue.)

What are the lessons?

Compared with the UK, the US has found more funding sources for valuable new content. In the UK most commissioning comes from the four traditional broadcasters, BBC, ITV, C4 and Five. In the US it is coming from the networks, ABC, CBS, NBC, Fox (Desperate Housewives, House), basic cable like AMC (Mad Men, Breaking Bad) and premium cable, like HBO or Starz (Spartacus, The Wire). We need more diversity in the commissioning base.

Second, in the US, subscription revenue is funding a lot of new content. In Europe, too, subscription is TV's fastest growing revenue stream. But in the UK  it is not, yet, driving very much content production -- though it is growing on Sky.

Again, more diversity needed.